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It will be a few more than that. The global demand for fresh water will be 40% over capacity by 2030, if we even make it that long.
We’re losing massive amounts of polar ice daily and if the next 5 years are as hot as 2023, the Blue Ocean Event will happen in 2027.
Reminds me of a bit that George Carlin did regarding climate change: “The planet’s gonna be fine. The people are FUCKED!”