silence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.netEnglish · 2 years agoAnalysis: ‘Greater than 99% chance’ 2023 will be hottest year on recordwww.carbonbrief.orgexternal-linkmessage-square20linkfedilinkarrow-up1202arrow-down13
arrow-up1199arrow-down1external-linkAnalysis: ‘Greater than 99% chance’ 2023 will be hottest year on recordwww.carbonbrief.orgsilence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.netEnglish · 2 years agomessage-square20linkfedilink
minus-squarethepianistfroggollum@lemmynsfw.comlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1arrow-down6·2 years agoExactly, don’t forget that climate change goes extreme in both directions, so we may very well face the coldest year on record too.
minus-squaresilence7@slrpnk.netOPMlinkfedilinkarrow-up15·edit-22 years agoBasically no chance of that happening. Temperatures are rising, just with a bit of noise: Monotonic would mean that each year is strictly warmer than the last one, but the noise is big enough that we sometimes get a few slightly less warm years before the next record. The bigger picture looks like this:
Exactly, don’t forget that climate change goes extreme in both directions, so we may very well face the coldest year on record too.
Basically no chance of that happening. Temperatures are rising, just with a bit of noise:
Monotonic would mean that each year is strictly warmer than the last one, but the noise is big enough that we sometimes get a few slightly less warm years before the next record.
The bigger picture looks like this:
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