Last week I posted about the unofficial r\nba Win Totals league, where members of the sub can predict the records of each team this upcoming season. You can still sign up - picks lock Tuesday night at tip-off!

Winner gets an NBA League Pass Subscription for the 24-25 season!

Looking at the projections of the members that have signed up and made predictions so far, there are some interesting places of disagreement. Notably, r/nba thinks the big dawgs of the East will rack up a few more wins than their O/U would suggest.

The Top 5 Overrated Teams According to r/nba

  1. New Orleans Hornets (predicting 3.3 fewer wins than Vegas)
  2. Charlotte Hornets (predicting 2.6 fewer wins than Vegas)
  3. Houston Rockets (predicting 2.4 fewer wins than Vegas)
  4. Dallas Mavericks (predicting 2.1 fewer wins than Vegas)
  5. Los Angeles Clippers (predicting 2.1 fewer wins than Vegas)

The Top 5 Underrated Teams According to r/nba

  1. Milwaukee Bucks (predicting 2.6 more wins than Vegas)
  2. Boston Celtics (predicting 1.8 more wins than Vegas)
  3. Toronto Raptors (predicting 1.4 more wins than Vegas)
  4. Washington Wizards (predicting 1.4 more wins than Vegas)
  5. Detroit Pistons (predicting 1.1 more wins than Vegas)

Here is the full set of data so far:

Team r/nba Vegas (FD) O/U Difference
Milwaukee Bucks 56.1 53.5 2.6
Boston Celtics 56.3 54.5 1.8
Toronto Raptors 37.9 36.5 1.4
Washington Wizards 25.9 24.5 1.4
Detroit Pistons 25.6 24.5 1.1
Denver Nuggets 53.6 52.5 1.1
Sacramento Kings 45.5 44.5 1.0
Los Angeles Lakers 47.1 46.5 0.6
New York Knicks 46.1 45.5 0.6
Minnesota Timberwolves 44.8 44.5 0.3
Philadelphia 76ers 47.8 47.5 0.3
Oklahoma City Thunder 43.6 43.5 0.1
Brooklyn Nets 37.6 37.5 0.1
Atlanta Hawks 42.5 42.5 0.0
Miami Heat 44.5 44.5 0.0
Orlando Magic 37.4 37.5 -0.1
Chicago Bulls 37.2 37.5 -0.3
Phoenix Suns 50.8 51.5 -0.7
San Antonio Spurs 27.7 28.5 -0.8
Indiana Pacers 38.6 39.5 -0.9
Portland Trail Blazers 26.1 27.5 -1.4
Golden State Warriors 46.0 47.5 -1.5
Cleveland Cavaliers 48.9 50.5 -1.6
Memphis Grizzlies 44.8 46.5 -1.7
Utah Jazz 33.6 35.5 -1.9
Los Angeles Clippers 43.4 45.5 -2.1
Dallas Mavericks 41.4 43.5 -2.1
Houston Rockets 29.1 31.5 -2.4
Charlotte Hornets 28.9 31.5 -2.6
New Orleans Hornets 41.2 44.5 -3.3

As usual, we’ll take stock of all this at the end of the season.

Add your predictions here!

  • jgman22@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    I think John Hollinger put the Pels at .500 the other day and his reasoning was basically that no one has any clue what’s gonna happen with this team.

  • 693275001@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think Milwaukee or Boston have the depth or durability to hit this sub’s OU. They’re built for the playoffs

  • TitanTigers@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    This sub will always have a bias towards large markets in everything because large markets have way more fans here lol

    • jrlandry@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Its so annoying how large markets like Milwaukee, Detroit, Sacramento, and Washington are getting overrated! People keep sleeping on those small markets like LA, Houston, and San Francisco

  • qb1120@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    The Hornets have talent but they are almost all headcases and they will just implode at some point

  • Titanstheory@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    I think a lot of people are underrating the hornets cause of memes. But the hornets top 9 has talent comparable to a roster like the cavs, the Knicks or the wolves.

  • Larosh97@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    The Hornets at 29 wins just show that most people have extreme recency bias, this was a 43 win team 2 years ago and this roster is better than that roster was. Sure if injuries and suspensions come into play like last season it’s a different story.

  • Algaebruhh@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    Hey bro! I was wondering if I will still receive my league pass for first place last year? Thanks bro!

    • kilo22@alien.topOPB
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      1 year ago

      Yes, of course! Just responded to your DM so we can sort it before the first league pass games tomorrow.