• 0 Posts
  • 231 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: June 15th, 2023

help-circle

  • As in, you’ve profited from the sale of every car you’ve owned?

    I profited from owning productive capital. You know, an investment!

    I don’t think most people would want to own a car

    I certainly wouldn’t. I don’t like owning a car. But it has been hard to turn down the return on investment potential. Where else were you going to get those kinds of returns?

    In the past, that is. I haven’t bought a car recently. With the price of vehicles today, it’s not clear if there is still much ROI to be had – it seems pencils have been sharpened pretty sharp. But I’m not looking for one right now either so I haven’t crunched the numbers very hard.

    I also don’t think many regular consumers are buying cars for some chance to profit from the sale of them afterwards.

    I wouldn’t think so either. If they are looking for a bank account that returns some interest, they’re more likely to go to a bank. But if they’re looking for an investment, cars have been pretty good (maybe no longer; we shall see).


  • The original poster seemed to have a problem with people being able to recoup and profit from the sale of their home.

    The original poster seemed to have complained about government involvement distorting the market. I’m not sure that’s quite the same thing.

    The difference between a money pit (i.e. a car) and an investment (i.e. a home) is that you can get the money back that you invested + extra if you are lucky.

    Every car I’ve ever owned returned all the money back that I invested and then some. Why the hell would you buy one otherwise? They also depreciated, but that doesn’t matter when the gross investment returns are greater than the depreciation cost.


  • The comparison between cars and homes is silly and we can end it here.

    They are not comparable in every way, but with respect to depreciation, the reason they both depreciate is the same: They both deteriorate over time and with use. Depreciation measures the cost of that decay. The original context was specific about it referring to the deprecation aspects.

    We’ve also established that a home that’s been maintained and updated should not only hold its original value, but be worth more than it cost.

    I’m not sure that is established. It is established that it is technically possible for that to be true if new homes prices are rising in kind. That has definitely been the case over the past decade, or even the past few decades.

    But over the long history? Traditionally, homes in good condition have only kept pace with inflation. Historically, if you bought a home for $100,000 then you should be able to sell it for $100,000 (we’ll assuming inflation is zero to keep things simple) a decade later, assuming you’ve kept it in the same condition. Great.

    But let’s say you had to put $25,000 into upkeep during that decade. So your original cost was actually $125,000. You had to eat $25,000 in depreciation costs when you sold it for only $100,000. Had you done nothing, letting it rot over those 10 years, then the house would only sell for $75,000. You also had to eat $25,000 in deprecation costs. It’s the same either way.

    I still don’t understand what the argument is.

    I didn’t see an argument. What are you referring to?


  • I can’t see anyone wanting to spend tens of thousands of dollars keeping their Toyota Corolla running for generations.

    They just might if a 2023 Toyota Corolla was effectively the same as a 1823 Toyota Corolla, differing little beyond coming in a more appealing colour of paint. Only needing to spend tens of thousands of dollars to have a new car would be a good deal.

    That doesn’t happen because of the technical innovation happing in cars. Restoring your 1823 Corolla to new condition is nothing like a 2023 Corolla. It will still get you around, but with no cabin, air conditioning, power steering, radio, slower speeds, etc. who would want it? We already discussed this.

    the person I was replying to makes it seem like a house’s value should always be in decline.

    They are always in decline. You can spend more to buy the depreciation out when you restore it, or you can let it slip and spend that when you sell it, but the decline happens either way. There is no avoiding it.

    Well, there is one way to avoid it: If the cost of new housing goes up sufficiently, it will drag the used market it with it. That could see an appreciation in value even with some wear and tear. In fact, we saw exactly that happen in the used car market recently when the “chip shortage” sent the new car market sky high. People were selling their used cars for more than what they were new.


  • And the remaining lifetime of a home kept in good condition could be many generations.

    Kept in good condition is the key. If you keep a car in good condition, it can last many generations too.

    In fact, homes can often be renovated to extend their original life far beyond even a few lifetimes.

    Same goes for cars, of course. There is a whole automotive industry around taking beat up old cars and restoring them to pristine condition. And, indeed, many of those cars can sell for way beyond their original price.

    Right, so it wouldn’t be depreciated like a car

    Right, it would deprecate because houses deteriorate. If you keep your house in good condition, it’s just you paying the deprecation cost up front when you restore it rather than taking the hit with the next guy in line. The math works out the same either way. The depreciation doesn’t go away.

    It’s rare to see just a home (without the land) being sold.

    Less common, but not unheard of. It happens often enough that there was once a Canadian TV series about moving houses.

    In your example, the homes are still the same value, only the land changes the sale amount.

    Exactly. Their values are evaluated independently of each other. The house can depreciate and the land can appreciate.


  • A car and a home are two very different things, so they can’t be compared here.

    With respect to depreciation they are quite comparable. Deprecation is just the reflection of the remaining lifetime value of something.

    Depreciation just tends to be more obvious in cars, because:

    1. Cars have pushed the technical advancement envelope a lot faster than houses. A 20 year old house still feels like something that was built recently. A 20 year old car feels like it was built by a much earlier civilization. This keeps greeter interest in having the absolute latest model in cars.
    2. Because of #1, people are more likely to recondition a home back to new condition. If a support structure in a house is seeing signs of rot, you are bound to fix it. If a car’s frame starts to rust through, you’re apt to throw the car away and get a new one.

    I’ve yet to see a home in good condition that’s worth less than the amount it was purchased for.

    A home in good condition has approximately the same remaining lifetime value as a new home, so that stands to reason. Not to mention that with ever more stringent building codes, new construction cost has gone up, up, up. The used market always follows the new market.

    Even the land your home is on increases in value over time

    Land does, but that’s independent of the home. I mean, they are usually sold together, but the buyer will determine their utility value independently. Two identical houses will not fetch the same price if one of them sits on more desirable land.





  • A home is meant to be a depreciating asset like a car is.

    It is. Granted, it has become crazy expensive to buy a new home, so the used market has risen to compensate. Actually, we’ve seen the same thing happen in cars recently. New cars have become crazy expensive, so the used car market has gone up in price too.

    But that’s outside of investing. Nothing says depreciating capital cannot be an investment. Consider a widget that cost $100 to buy and after one year is completely worn out and worth $0. But that widget during its useful life produced trinkets that you were able to sell for a profit of $120. There you go, a 20% return on investment, even though the capital is now worth nothing.

    Cars and houses will always fundamentally be investments as long as they remain useful tools of production.


  • Even bananas and cucumbers and things that don’t need plastic?

    Cucumbers, like many other foods, are wrapped in plastic because they last longer that way. Less spoilage comes with many obvious benefits, like not needing to produce/transport as many, which reduces greenhouse gas emissions. Of course, nothing in life comes free of tradeoffs. Pick your poison.

    I don’t think I’ve ever seen a plastic wrapped banana in the store, but it is documented that wrapping bananas in plastic also slows their rate of decay, so no doubt the calculus leans towards plastic in some situations as well.