Just like the Aipocalyse, “the only needed guardrail against corruption is me” - DJT

The cost decline for a given level of performance does tend to slow over time

Even in their tests, there are big drops in 2026 models, and recent ones.

A much more comprehensive and easy test is to follow this benchmark suite (AAi). Its a mix of medium/hard benchmarks, with bias for agentic coding. (sorry for url dump) https://artificialanalysis.ai/?endpoints=openai_gpt-5-2-codex%2Cazure_kimi-k2-thinking%2Camazon-bedrock_qwen3-coder-480b-a35b-instruct%2Camazon-bedrock_qwen3-coder-30b-a3b-instruct%2Ctogetherai_minimax-m2-5_fp4%2Ctogetherai_glm-5_fp4%2Ctogetherai_qwen3-next-80b-a3b-reasoning%2Cgoogle_gemini-3-pro_ai-studio%2Cgoogle_glm-4-7%2Cmoonshot-ai_kimi-k2-thinking_turbo%2Cnovita_glm-5_fp8&models=mimo-v2-5-pro%2Cgpt-6-sol-low%2Cgemini-3-5-flash-minimal%2Cgpt-5-6-luna-low%2Cclaude-fable-5-1-low%2Ckimi-k2-6%2Ckimi-k2-6-non-reasoning%2Cmimo-v2-0206%2Cglm-5-3-flash%2Cgpt-6-luna-xhigh%2Cglm-4.5%2Cgpt-5-5%2Cclaude-opus-5-low%2Cmimo-v2-5-0424%2Cclaude-sonnet-5%2Cmimo-v2-6-pro%2Cclaude-opus-4-5-thinking%2Cminimax-m3%2Cgpt-6-astra%2Cclaude-opus-5-5%2Cqwen3-8-27b-non-reasoning%2Cgpt-6-luna-medium%2Cclaude-fable-5-1%2Cgpt-5-6-luna%2Cmimo-v2-5-pro-non-reasoning%2Cminimax-m2-7%2Ck2-horizon-mova-36b-a4b%2Cclaude-opus-4-6-adaptive%2Cgpt-5-6-luna-medium%2Cgemini-3-1-flash-lite-preview%2Cgpt-5-4-pro%2Cgrok-4-3-medium%2Cnvidia-nemotron-3-super-120b-a12b%2Cgpt-6-luna-non-reasoning%2Cqwen3-8-27b-medium%2Cgpt-5-5-medium%2Cdeepseek-v4-pro-0424-non-reasoning%2Cgpt-6-luna%2Cgemini-3-8-flash-medium%2Cnvidia-nemotron-3-nano-30b-a3b-reasoning%2Cgrok-4-5%2Cgemini-3-flash-reasoning%2Cgpt-6-luna-high%2Cqwen3-8-27b-low%2Cmimo-v2-flash%2Cdeepseek-v4-pro%2Cqwen3-6-35b-a3b%2Cgemini-3-8-flash%2Cclaude-4-5-sonnet-thinking%2Cllama-4-maverick%2Cgrok-4-3%2Cclaude-opus-4-8%2Cmuse-spark-1-3%2Cqwen3-8-flash-next%2Cgpt-6-astra-low%2Ckimi-k2-5%2Cgpt-5-4%2Cqwen3-8-27b%2Cqwen3-8-max%2Cgpt-5-5-high%2Cclaude-sonnet-5-5%2Chy3%2Cclaude-opus-5%2Cgpt-5-4-mini%2Ck2-horizon-375b-a23b%2Cgemini-3-1-pro-preview%2Cgpt-6-luna-low%2Cgpt-6-sol%2Cgrok-4-6%2Cclaude-4-1-opus-thinking%2Cglm-5-3%2Cgpt-6-sol-non-reasoning%2Cclaude-sonnet-5-non-reasoning%2Cgpt-5-6-sol%2Cgpt-5-6-sol-xhigh%2Cdeepseek-v4-1-flash%2Cgemini-3-7-flash-low%2Cclaude-opus-5-5-xhigh%2Cclaude-sonnet-4-6-adaptive%2Cglm-5-2-non-reasoning%2Cclaude-opus-5-5-medium%2Cgpt-oss-120b%2Cclaude-opus-5-5-high%2Cglm-5-2%2Ckimi-k3%2Cgrok-4-3-low%2Cdeepseek-v4-flash%2Cclaude-opus-5-medium%2Cgemini-4-argon&agents=claude-code-fable-5-1-max-with-fallback%2Ckimi-code-cli-kimi-k3%2Cgrok-build-grok-4-7-xhigh%2Cmuse-code-muse-spark-1-3-max%2Cantigravity-sdk-gemini-3-8-flash-high%2Cdevin-fusion-cli-gpt-6-astra-xhigh-swe-2-medium%2Cclaude-code-qwen3-8-max%2Cdevin-fusion-cli-claude-fable-5-1-xhigh-swe-2-medium%2Ccodex-gpt-5-6-sol-max-reasoning-effort-max%2Cclaude-code-opus-5-max%2Ccodex-gpt-6-astra-max-reasoning-effort-max%2Copencode-glm-5-3-reasoning-effort-max%2Cgrok-build-grok-4-6-xhigh%2Ccodex-deepseek-v4-pro-0813-max%2Ccodex-deepseek-v4-flash-0731-max%2Cmuse-code-muse-spark-1-3-xhigh&coding-agents=cost&model-creators=zai%2Cgoogle%2Calibaba%2Copenai%2Canthropic%2Cxai%2Cmeta%2Cmistral%2Cdeepseek%2Cstepfun%2Cthinking-machines%2Ckimi%2Cifm%2Cminimax%2Cxiaomi&releases=claude-opus-5-5%2Cclaude-fable-5-1%2Cgpt-6-astra%2Cgpt-5-6-luna%2Cmuse-spark-1-3%2Cgrok-4-7%2Cmimo-v2-6-pro%2Cglm-5-3%2Cgemini-3-8-flash%2Cdeepseek-v4-1-flash%2Cminimax-m3&capability-models=gemini-3-5-flash-lite%2Cstep-5%2Cinkling%2Cmimo-v2-6-flash%2Cglm-5-3-flash%2Cmimo-v2-6-pro%2Cminimax-m3%2Cgpt-6-astra%2Cclaude-opus-5-5%2Cclaude-fable-5-1%2Cgpt-5-6-luna%2Cmuse-glimmer%2Cgrok-4-7%2Cnvidia-nemotron-3-ultra-550b-a55b%2Cgpt-6-luna%2Cgemini-3-8-flash%2Cmuse-spark-1-3%2Cqwen3-8-27b%2Cqwen3-8-max%2Cclaude-sonnet-5-5%2Cclaude-opus-5%2Ck2-horizon-375b-a23b%2Cgpt-6-sol%2Cglm-5-3%2Cgpt-5-6-sol%2Cdeepseek-v4-1-flash%2Cmistral-medium-3-5%2Ckimi-k3%2Cqwen3-8-flash-next&cost=evaluation-breakdown

Opus 4.8 (may 2026), by far best model at the time, gets equaled by deepseek 4 pro (july 31) and 4.1 flash (sept 10th) at less than 1/100th the cost. MiMo 2.6 pro (sept 21) is even cheaper and beats opus 4.8 scores by a wide margin. sonnet 4.6 max to gpt luna high is also a 99% cost drop in a short time for lower performance level models.

I see this argument about AI. “The CEOs surely wouldn’t do it if it was dangerous. What would be the point?” To buy a bunker in New Zealand to ride it out?

It’s proof of unsustainable AI bubble. Can’t hit those numbers. https://lemmy.ca/post/71626228/25584891

green onions is produce that doesn’t stay fresh for very long. Need to eat whole bunch within 3 days.

Prediction market odds are 5% for this happening. You can double your $5k, by just betting $250 on it, if you believe.

This seems irresponsible. Specifically expecting Africa for heat deaths. It is the continent least affected by El nino, which is an eastern pacific phenomenon, and southern hemisphere has mostly eastward winds.

The machines are fairly expensive. Once you get rid of democracy, or have our current state of fascist disinformation regarding how collapse is winning, there is a profit maximization formula through scarcity.

The machines could be priced the same as an F35 ($120m) not because manufacturing is that expensive, but the goal of the program is to funnel money to establishment, to support the political system back. At $1500/hour surgery cost to make $12m+/year (10% yield/10 year payback) each machine is 2-5x cheaper than current OR costs/billing, but its cost for diagnotics/drug delivery would be higher than current hospital services, and pricing surgery 2-3x higher might be needed.

Radial woke marxists that hate America might prefer policies that create abundant magic healing machines, instead of a new oligarchist support program, but that’s why elections need to be set up as a final battle to exterminate them (the left, of course) all.

Green onions are up 200% in just a few years

Maybe just 1 of each of the more secret advanced stuff.

Beyond global warming, there is smog/pollution problems with it.

More importantly, it is directly increasing oil use which directly increases gasoline prices compared to any lesser use. So more evidence that higher oil, gasoline, diesel prices now are intended by design.

deluxe model (the default) adds expert ratings to adjust polling and fundamentals. There is a slight extra edge for dems in Iowa, Ohio Maine and Texas.

Someone ask him if he would be worried that a JD Vance presidency, after Trump impeachment, would side with American sustainability/affordability over Israel’s war objectives in Iran.

I hope the impeachment process takes just 2-3 days. Here’s 100 reasons, just shut up and vote.

what is classic vs deluxe difference in methodology?

A use of AI we might all support, is dealing with insurance companies. Just have your chatbot talk to their chatbot to get them to do what they were supposed to do all along. This report does claim AI used to find more problems with patients, but harrassing insurance companies is going to lower their margins/prices and increase their approval rates. That could be already be part of blue shield’s higher costs, even if they don’t acknowledge it.

Recent and near term policies by CDU move away from plan, and key CDU leaders pledge against any deindustrialization impacts of climate policy. With valuing the absolute competitive/employment advantage of facilitating the cheapest possible energy that are renewables. Policies include 10gw in new NG power plants, no more EV mandate, no more ban on new construction fossil home heating, removing renewable subsidies.

This UN plan is a bit more ambitious than last one, but Germany is moving backwards at the other side of its mouth.

consecutive low winter peaks is how artic sea ice volume charts have been breaking records every year. https://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icethickness/thk.uk.php

It is new for Antarctic to have consecutive below range sea ice years, and will change expectations for its glaciers stability.

Only 3/47 countries reported “net fears” of AI. US is the most negative. It could be about threat to people’s own wages, were low ones in their country, can see more opportunity for AI to improve their own opportunities, whereas high wage countries see it as replacement threat.

ridiculous rule for shows that have run longer than everything else on the list, and still popular.