An estimated $4 to $20 billion in value, what is he thinking?

  • audaxdreik@pawb.social
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    1 year ago

    Everything is tweets now, on all platforms; hear me out.

    It might sound lazy, and I certainly have no loyalty to the Twitter brand, but if Musk isn’t going to defend it we have the opportunity to dilute and generalize the term (like zipper or band-aid). We can kill it dead AND reclaim it.

    It’s a good word! Short, sweet, has familiarity, and is honestly pretty descriptive for the simple bird-like chatter of the discourse. Everything else proposed sounds dumb as hell, not to mention you’re doing the marketing for them. Don’t sell their brands - suffocate them!

      • audaxdreik@pawb.social
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        1 year ago

        Not gonna lie, that still felt a little dirty. But I already posted it to the internet and there’s no going backsies.

    • Semi-Hemi-Demigod@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      As someone who prefers threaded interaction, it’s gonna be hard to stop calling them posts. Maybe that’s what my grandkids will think is old fashioned about me.

      “They’s been posts since BBS and they’ll stay posts!”

      • dbilitated@aussie.zone
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        1 year ago

        I think personal micro-blogging (mastodon) and posting forum-style topics (reddit) can have different words?

      • audaxdreik@pawb.social
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        1 year ago

        The original post was at least half joking in tone, but in seriousness, I think there’s an argument to be made that “posts” applies to topical threads. Threads that originate with a piece of content like a link or self post and that all following discussion is at least tangentially related. I’d call them posts here on Lemmy for that.

        Tweets, however, often originate out of thin air, be it someone’s head or ass. When someone says, “Kanye West ‘tweeted’ <INSERT OPINION HERE>” you’ve already determined about how seriously you’re going to take it.

    • ArugulaZ@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      You make an interesting point, but I’m most comfortable calling them posts. Because that’s what they are. The term “post” applies to any and all blogging services, regardless of their branding.

  • Kara@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    “Our logo is our most recognizable asset. That’s why we’re so protective of it.” -Twitter’s (Currently Outdated) Brand Toolkit Page

    • Moonrise2473@feddit.it
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      1 year ago

      The best part is that because now it’s just Unicode 𝕏, the logo is public domain and it can be used by anyone in that exact shape in any context.

      No matter how good are their patent lawyers, I don’t think they will succeed to trademark prior art designed by someone else

      • hh93@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        Also read that Microsoft is holding the trademark on ‘X’ because of DirectX, X-Box, etc…

        I wonder how long until Elon pulls the “it’s just a joke bro”

  • SatanicNotMessianic@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think twitter has $30B in valuation left. Musk bought it for $44B (which was beyond its value at the time, but okay). Since his takeover, it’s lost between 50-60% of its value. That was as of several months ago, so I have to imagine it’s even less now.

    With the loss of brand equity, they might be sliding towards the single digit billions very quickly.

    He’s just setting money on fire at this point.

    • Kerrigor@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      What I don’t understand is how he can still be in charge, at all? Do shareholders not have any legal mechanism to get him removed?

      • SatanicNotMessianic@lemmy.ml
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        1 year ago

        He’s the largest shareholder and it’s a private company, which is why we depend on companies holding his debt for guesstimates about the valuation. There’s no market forces that are punishing him for bad decisions, other than him not being able to service his/twitter’s debt based on twitter’s dwindling income.

        Jack Dorsey and his Saudi partners agreed to hold onto their shares (ie, not force Musk to buy them) and together they held about $3.5B out of the $44B valuation when it went private. Dorsey just started offering some super gentle criticism while saying it’s a very hard job.

        I don’t know if they’re under NDAs, or if they’re afraid of crashing their investments further by criticizing him in public, or if they just don’t care because what’s a few billion between friends. Maybe they’re sending him angry texts.

        I’m just hoping that someone comes out with a tell-all that ends up being a movie called The Anti-Social Network.

      • SatanicNotMessianic@lemmy.ml
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        1 year ago

        TWTR had about 765M shares outstanding. I didn’t follow them throughout the entire run up to the Muskening, but it looked like they were averaging somewhere in the neighborhood of $35/share, meaning their valuation would be about $25-30B. I’m deliberately ignoring the fact that they went into the 60s and 70s for an extended period in 2021 because I’m not sure what was driving that apart from cheap money and higher online activity during covid.

        I still think he overpaid by a factor of about 1.5.

    • meridian@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      So you’re saying it’s worth at least 20 billion? Still seems too high to me.

  • donuts@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    This fucking dude could have spent <$1M hiring a small team to spin up a heavily customized X-branded Mastodon server, but instead he spent $44 BILLION dollars buying and ruining Twitter.

    How fucking crazy is that? That’s fucking crazy… right?

    • bermuda@beehaw.org
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      1 year ago

      this is the guy who decided to build a tunnel under LA to skip traffic and then instead built one in las vegas that gets traffic jams

        • bermuda@beehaw.org
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          yes but he built it in las vegas. It has a few stops and relies on teslas, each with a driver, and it functions as a very basic “public transit” system. Almost none of what he initially promised are present in the final design. Originally it was going to be his “hyperloop” thing. Then it was “autonomous vehicles.” Now it’s “teslas driven by people”

            • Apathy Tree@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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              1 year ago

              Haha you are right, he did try to reinvent the subway!

              And any of the problems he mentioned could basically be fixed by spending -more- on public transit, rather than less… with the exception of it leaving from wherever you want and there being other people (though the more they run, the fewer people need to take each).

              • Scrubbles@poptalk.scrubbles.tech
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                1 year ago

                That’s what bugs me about all of his “inventions”, is that they aren’t really new ideas, or even if they are they’re wildly expensive for the benefits. Cities like Vegas look at him and thought “Oh wow finally we’ll solve traffic with these new ideas!” when really they just need to invest in actual proven infrastructure like subways and commuter rail.

                It’s well known that Elon pitched the hyperloop in California because he wanted to kill California’s high speed rail, because he’d rather have people buy Teslas then have an inexpensive fast way to travel between cities. He delayed the project for years over his wild claims, and people are still hesitant to it thanks to his selfishness.

        • figment@lemmy.sdf.org
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          1 year ago

          edit: Why do I fucking try, this is ridiculous. Just trying to hold people accountable for their bullshit. Go fuck yourselves.

          • QHC@kbin.social
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            1 year ago

            Is it better than a light rail system, or would that not help sell enough products from a company owned by Musk?

            • figment@lemmy.sdf.org
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              1 year ago

              It’s definitely less than that. The advantages will be when you’re able to get in a vehicle and input your destination and it can go straight there without a single other stop. In theory at least. I’m not saying it’s genius but it’s an interesting concept and I’m curious to see if it works when scaled.

              • moomoomoo309@programming.dev
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                1 year ago

                Given the short distance it goes and the fact that it has human drivers currently…I’m doubtful it’s going to scale at all. In its current iteration, a small train would have been better in just about every way. I wouldn’t praise it for what it will be, praise it for what it is, because Elon Musk loves to promise the moon and stars and not deliver on those promises.

          • bermuda@beehaw.org
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            1 year ago

            Just trying to hold people accountable for their bullshit. Go fuck yourselves.

            If I recall correctly, you tried to “hold me accountable” by claiming I was slandering him and coming up with lies, when in fact none of what I said was even a lie. In fact, you even said yourself that it gets backed up “sometimes,” which is what I mean by traffic jams.

            It sounds to me like you need to learn what the word slander, actually means. Also, I reported this because it’s rude as hell.

  • Snapz@beehaw.org
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    1 year ago

    On purpose.

    Only clearer by the day that this was all an exercise to intentionally kill Twitter to the benefit of billionaires, fascists and other extremists.

    Twitter existed as a relatively free and open public space to communicate, organize and assemble to take actions for and against things at scale before musk (e.g. The Arab Spring, a terrifying moment for the Saudis especially - the second largest shareholder behind musk).

    When people collectively laughed at elon and his cringe, inbred, emerald boy antics or his humiliating divorce and other routine failures, Twitter was the bullhorn.

    Now elon and his desperate far right Toadies will work to try to rewrite reality so they can eventually have this conversation:

    "Twitter? What’s a Twitter? Wait, are you talking about blork? A bird? No, blork’s logo is a dinosaur with chainsaw arms… and everyone wants to be his best friend… and it’s against the law to divorce him… and he’s cool… and…"

    What an everlasting tool history will remember you as, elon. If they remember you at all, it will be to laugh at you - you’ll never outrun that.

    • Steeve@lemmy.ca
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      1 year ago

      Stop giving Musk so much credit, he’s shown historically that he’s just massive narcissistic fuck up who got lucky in the dot com bubble. There’s no reason to think there’s some far right conspiracy here, he only bought the website because he got in a pissing match and couldn’t get out when he tried.

      • wutBEE@lemmy.wutbee.com
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        1 year ago

        If anything, what this has really shown is he’s exceptionally bad at software-first companies and people. His successes have been in high risk manufacturing markets blended with software methodology, ie reusable rockets, electric vehicles, and storage.

        I honestly think he’s just a guy clearly on the spectrum with grand visions that works in certain markets and completely fails in others. Regardless of his poor character, ascribing everything to luck seems a little emotional to me.

    • Navarian@lemm.eeOP
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      1 year ago

      I’m inclined to agree with others here in the thread. I honestly don’t think this was an intentional action designed to tank Twitter. It may well be doing just that, but frankly, Elon has proven time and again that he’s a world-class idiot.

      • TWeaK@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        Musk did not pay $44 billion to buy Twitter. He paid $26 billion, underwritten by stock in Tesla, which subsequently lost significant value. $5 billion was from other investors including the Saudi Prince.

        The remaining $13 billion was a loan Twitter took out to buy itself on Musk’s behalf. Even before Musk started tanking the revenue, Twitter could not afford that debt - the interest alone was comparible to its revenue. That debt is probably about what Twitter is worth right now after the name change, making it pretty much unviable as a business.

        You don’t have to look at Musk’s antics to conclude that the intention was to kill the company. You only have to look at the financials.

        Leveraged buyouts almost always lead to the business closing. It’s how Toys R Us, and many other staple brands, were brought down.

        • FlowVoid@midwest.social
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          1 year ago

          Tesla stock is worth more now than when Twitter went private.

          And if Musk intended to kill Twitter, he would have simply shut down the servers last year.

          What you are seeing is the result of mistakes, not a conspiracy.

          • TWeaK@lemm.ee
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            1 year ago

            I might not have all the details right, it isn’t 100% clear if Musk sold his Tesla shares or underwrote the purchase with them. There is a Reuters article that breaks it down, however I have seen some conflicting reports. The article claims he raised $20bn by selling stocks, then had to raise $2-3bn elsewhere (his existing Twitter stock was worth $4bn).

          • TWeaK@lemm.ee
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            1 year ago

            It means Musk & co only paid $31 billion, and only paid tax on $31 billion, while Twitter gets saddled with $13 billion in debt.

            $44 billion was required to buy Twitter and pay off existing shareholders. The argument is that under the new ownership the new owners would be able to direct Twitter to take out a loan to further the business, however in practice they avoid tax and saddle the business with debt that it can’t afford.

          • Killer57@lemmy.ca
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            1 year ago

            It’s the same thing that happened to Toy’s R Us, a group of investors bought the company using the same sort of deal, then they couldn’t pay it back and poof, no more Toy’s R Us.

    • SlamDrag@beehaw.org
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      Twitter isn’t and never was useful as an organizing tool. Arab spring was a failure. Twitter is actually more useful to the ruling class than not because it gives a way for the masses to expend it’s restless energy without changing anything.

      • Snapz@beehaw.org
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        1 year ago

        Of course there are degrees of usefulness and different types of organizing, but generally, your wrong here in your first point. Some merit in your second claim, but overall, it’s something they likely feared to a degree as a point of connection and amplification of information.

    • rm_dash_r_star@lemm.ee
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      What an everlasting tool history will remember you as, elon.

      Biggest tool in the history of tools.

      Only clearer by the day that this was all an exercise to intentionally kill Twitter to the benefit of billionaires, fascists and other extremists.

      When I initially heard about Elon paying what he did for Twitter my first thought was he’s buying it to kill it, then I thought nobody in their right mind would spend that kind of money to carry out a personal vendetta. Now I think that’s absolutely what’s going on.

      I believe he’s killing Twitter purely for personal reasons (he hates it because people gave him shit there). I don’t think there’s some kind of grand social agenda. It would require an assumption he cares about someone other than himself. Unlikely as the guy’s ego extends past Planet 9.

      • Snapz@beehaw.org
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        He needs daddy’s approval and the other billionaires are surrogate daddy. That would be the social agenda influence you’re referencing. Look at how desperate and odd he was on stage with dave chapelle, that was a core view into his base self, he needs to be praised. He’s also a eugenics/natalism cult member and sees the wealthy as his equal, superior “race” of people - so he would 100% sacrifice a lot for even their passing approval.

    • J.B. Pinkle@beehaw.org
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      On purpose.

      Only clearer by the day that this was all an exercise to intentionally kill Twitter to the benefit of billionaires, fascists and other extremists.

      I truly thought it was just tone deafness and overconfidence on the part of Musk for a good potion of this. But the last few events, along with various comments he has made along the way, have me concluding that this must be true.

  • zxo@sopuli.xyz
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    1 year ago

    It seems to me that recently, Big Tech CEOs have been searching for interesting and creative ways to utterly destroy their company with no chance to rebuild it. Maybe he is trying to do that? At this point, it seems to me like Elon is doing his best diligence to set money on fire and run Twitter into the ground.

    • Limeaide@beehaw.org
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      1 year ago

      It honestly seems like some sort of virus going around. It has affected people I know, strangers I see on the street, CEOs, celebrities, comedians, etc.

      People have just lost their common sense and are more likely to believe the impossible than the improbably. More likely to act out of spite than the interests of society as a whole, or even their own self interest.

      Not sure if it was COVID, the internet, media, or idk what else, but people like Elon are popping up left and right. It’s crazy and I don’t even have the words to describe it.

      • stealth_cookies@lemmy.ca
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        1 year ago

        VCs fucked up the tech industry when capital was cheap by investing in companies that showed potential for massive growth without caring for the viability of the business. Now capital is expensive and these same companies are now trying desperately to make a profit to become a sustainable business because the VCs aren’t blindly giving them money anymore. This is exposing a lot of company’s leadership teams incompetence.

      • aksdb@feddit.de
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        1 year ago

        Could be a bias and/or coincidence. Due to all the shit in the world (partially due to COVID as well), the financial markets are quite troubled and much more unsteady than before. This also increased the pressure on a lot of previously growing companies who then suddenly had to change course and shrink again. Increasing prices and decreasing revenue while investors become more cautious means that a lot of these “startup”-kind-of-companies are suddenly in big trouble and enter survival mode.

        People who were able to sell ideas to investors suddenly need to actually manage and become profitable. Stuff that worked without a real strategy (aside from shining for the investors) suddenly needs to stand on its own feet.

        • whataboutshutup@discuss.online
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          1 year ago

          And they become a bit more brave since they hope they’d be overshsdowed by others. Like a line of professional cyclers defending each other against the wind coming from the front. If Mask would keep trending with X, many others would not get traction.

      • Zapp@beehaw.org
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        1 year ago

        These are all very real possibilities.

        Here’s another: The big shot billionaire’s agreed over drinks one night that their handlers - the staff that used to make them look smart - were overpaid.

    • norbert@kbin.social
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      That’s why Jack Dorsey jumped on it. Why spend all your time and energy maintaining a completed project when you can take $44 billion and explore other, new projects…