So in this URL, you can see the 2020 lines for how North Carolina voted. If that’s total counted votes after it was all over, then this page will be not so useful until all the 2024 votes are counted.
However, if it ONLY shows early/mail-in votes, then we’re in trouble. On almost every state I click the democrats have NOT reached their 2020 numbers, while the republicans are close to their 2020 numbers. In some cases surpassing 2020 numbers slightly.
The context relies heavily on what those 2020 ticks are measuring. Total votes? Or only Early/Mail-in votes?
Based on this breakdown It looks to be a comparison of all absentee ballots (which includes early voting, i.e absent from Election Day voting).
There were a lot more absentee Democrat voters in 2020 because of covid.
Ok. Based on this, it appears there’s roughly 1 million people who didn’t vote early in 2020. It’s impossible to really get any solid trends with this info. I was hoping to get some non-biased trends, just based on facts. But the facts show the numbers, but the numbers don’t really show any way to predict the state early.
Ah well. Guess the next 5 days will be the longest 6 months ever.