What an incredible job Lionel Scaloni has done for Argentina. Made them practically unstoppable.
As a Colombian, undefeated has never felt so underwhelming. Can’t help to feel we should have had at least 2 more points easily.
You know going into the year, I never actually thought Peru would be below top 5
What the fuck. Get This manager the fuck out of here
It was to be expected, most of the main players are either 30+ or don’t play as much as they should, we don’t have players coming out of the junior teams and the professionalism of the federation is non existant.
They should’ve changed the format of this. 7/10 qualifying is a bit silly. Perhaps two groups, north and south or something like that.
We should just join the qualifier with the rest of the Americas imo. But they probably don’t want that…
But the travel distances would be insane
Still 34 points needed to guarantee at least 6th and direct qualification after matchday 4. 32 points will guarantee 7th and playoff spot
Realistically 25 points should be enough for 7th place.
Yes most likely. My calculations are more worst case scenario with the top 8 teams beating the bottom 2 teams and then sharing wins between each other. Mathematically 8th can get as much as 31 but 32 guarantees without tiebreakers. But I’m sure there’ll be lots of draws and maybe a few upsets which will bring my numbers down
Parió la burra! Por fin!
After all this years FINALLY a coach that put the players that play in Europe and 2 forwards if it’s necesary.
Uruguay followed by Brazil away. Next month will be a true gauntlet.
Hay que dar el golpe histórico en el Maracaná
Para Brasil es un trauma historico Para Argentina otro día en la oficina
de nuevo
Argentina are winning back to back Copas, I’m convinced
Anulo
Anulo mufa 2 Electric boogalo
Anulo mufa v2
Venezuela the 4th power of Conmebol, Bocha conducción
weird feeling being so relaxed after only 4 games into the Qualifiers, but being 1st by 5 points plus the extended WC does that
Fe vs Anulo Mufa
Can we go play in europe? Conmebots are too easy
In March next year there will be some friendlies between South American and European teams.
What’s happening with Brazil?
Last two games were awful from them. Even the one before they just about managed to win at the end
They have a new coach.
People have short memories. They had plenty of qualifiers with similar starts before.
Venezuela and Brasil tied in points and GD lmao
dont poke the brazilian bear …
Since the World Cup expanded to 32 teams (in 1998), CONMEBOL qualifiers have consisted of 18 match days in a round robin home and away format. Previously, the top 4 finishers qualified directly and the 5th place qualified to the playoff/repechaje. With the 2026 expansion, CONMEBOL slots increased to 6 direct and 1 playoff.
Here is some data regarding the 7th place finisher in every qualifier since 1998 (except for 1998 and 2014 as Brasil was auto-qualified as previous winner and host in those years and only 16 matches were played):
The average 7th place finish earned 21.2 points. The most points for a 7th place finish occurred in the 2018 edition by Paraguay with 24 points (GD of -3). The least amount of points for a 7th place finish occurred in the 2002 edition by Bolivia with 18 points (GD of -12).
Additionally, you can look at how many points it would’ve taken to tie the 8th place finisher - as you could advance with a goal difference above the 8th place finisher but with the same amount of points.
The average 8th place finish earned 18.4 points. The most points for an 8th place finish occurred in the 2010 edition with 22 points (GD of -6). The least points for an 8th place finish occurred in the 2002 and 2022 editions with 16 points (GD of -11 and -14 respectively in those years).
25 points would seem to be the goal to nearly ensure at least a playoff spot, but as low as 16 points could be enough in a cycle where the bottom teams struggle. Now obviously, mathematically these ranges could be much higher and lower.
One additional note for anyone interested: In the 1998 and 2014 qualifiers (16 matches without Brasil), the 6th and 7th place finishers averaged 1.28 and 1.13 points per match. Compared to 1.18 and 1.02 points per match from 7th and 8th place finishers respectively in “normal” 18 match qualifying cycles.
Very crazy that every 7th and 8th place finisher that you mentioned had negative GD. I wonder what all time 5 number summary for GD on 6th to 8th place CONMEBOL countries would look like. Is the max even greater than zero?
How is that crazy? I would think that 7th and 8th out if 10 in most competitions would be expected to have a negative goal differential.
Rewarding mediocrity by auto qualifying 6th place.
I think Conmebol and Concacaf should merge into a giant super qualifying region.
USA v Brazil in Sofi Stadium LA in a WCQ would get some attention from the USA public for sure.
Honestly, I would’ve been fine with 5 direct and 1 (or 2) playoff spots.
As for your second point, most of South America wants nothing to do with concacaf (me included). It would provide nothing to our region except for more money to the executives. It sure would help the top concacaf teams though.
This pipe dream will never happen, and it will only give more power to UEFA