Steelers |
over |
Titans |
With Tannehill out, Levis threw four TDs in Week 8 in a great debut that included three scores for Hopkins. Pittsburgh is 2-2 in home games this season, and Pickett might be out on a short week. That means Trubisky is probably starting. Take the under on a coinflip game. |
Chiefs |
over |
Dolphins |
Tua and Mahomes rank first and third, respectively, in passing yards. The Phins have an opportunity to score a major step toward home-field advantage in the AFC with a win here. I just don’t see the Chiefs losing back-to-back games. It took Mahomes being sick and pumped full of IVs to lose his first Broncos matchup. |
Falcons |
over |
Vikings |
Battle of the backup QBs. Hall replaced Cousins, out for the season with a torn Achilles. Heinicke replaced Ridder in Week 8. The Falcons are 3-1 at home, but they might want to keep tabs on Addison who has five TD catches in his last four games. Both teams turn the ball over too much, so we’ll stick with the home team. |
Browns |
over |
Cardinals |
Murray is closer to a return for the Cards, who are on a five-game losing streak. They now have to face a tough Cleveland defense. Tune will start if Murray can’t go, and Watson remains a week-to-week decision for the Browns. Cleveland is 3-1 at home, but they are 0-2 as a favorite this season. Could be a good, low-scoring garbage game. |
Packers |
over |
Rams |
The Packers have been a miserable first-half team, and could lose their third straight at Lambeau. Rypien replaced Stafford for the Rams in Week 8 and they are 2-1 on the road. but I think the Packers break a four-game losing streak with a late TD drive from Love. This game may be trashy, but Green Bay breaks the curse at home this week. |
Commanders |
over |
Patriots |
The Patriots rank 31st in the NFL in scoring at 14.8 PPG; a show of just how bad the offense has been this season. Washington has been in a free fall, but Howell’s protection was much better in the loss to Philly. The Commanders have allowed 30+ PPG five times, but they are 2-2 on the road. Could be another trashy matchup, being either the lowest scoring game or the highest… take your pick. |
Saints |
over |
Bears |
Happy 57th Birthday, Saints! Last week we finally saw what this offense could do, coupled with a defense that has been great all season. With Chicago ranking 30th in pass defense, look for Carr to continue his 50+yard deep ball relationship with Shaheed. |
Ravens |
over |
Seahawks |
Bird battle. This is the fourth meeting between Carroll and Harbaugh, and Carroll has a 2-1 advantage. Seattle is 2-1 on the road this season, and Smith has a 93.7 rating with three TDs and two INTs in those games. Jackson has a 71.4% completion percentage with 5 TDs and one interception in a three-game win streak. The Ravens win, but this game will be tight |
Texans |
over |
Buccaneers |
Houston is home to face the 6th-ranked Bucs scoring defense. Not an easy challenge for a rookie QB, but Stroud has looked up to the task so far. Houston is also ranked 6th on defense, with 18.3 PPG. This may come down to how much the QB turns over the ball, and Baker is not as good as Stroud. |
Colts |
over |
Panthers |
Carolina finally won a game and now every team has won at least one game this season. Indy is stuck in a three-game skid, allowing an average of 38 PPG. The Panthers stay at and Reich is up against his old team, but Carolina allows 139.4 rushing YPG. This could be the Taylor breakout game for this season. |
Giants |
over |
Raiders |
Vegas has so much drama going on with them right now. The HC and GM have been fired, Adams hates it there, and they’re coming off a short week. Jones is expected to be back this week to hopefully bolster an offense that is last in the league in scoring (11.9 PPG). This will be a low-scoring game, but the team with a HC will win this one. |
Eagles |
over |
Cowboys |
The only division game this week, and it’s a good one. These teams split in the regular season last year. Philly could take a commanding lead in the division here. Dallas has limited Hurts to an average of 31 rushing yards in his last two starts vs Dallas, but the Cowboys have been an average road team at 2-2 this season. The Eagles haven’t lost at home, and they are 4-0 when favored by less than six points. |
Bengals |
over |
Bills |
Another great matchup. These two teams have emerged as AFC rivals in recent seasons. Burrow has a 77.9% completion percentage, 8 TDs and two INTs in his last three games. Chase has 31 catches for 372 yards and four TDs in that same stretch. How will Allen and Diggs (with five 100-yard games) counter in this one? Cincy is 15-6 the last three seasons with Burrow. It’ll be a shootout with the safe bet being the home team. |
Chargers |
over |
Jets |
The Jets continue to find ways to win games. They have one of the best pass defenses in the league, forcing 13 turnovers in their first seven games, the 4th-best in the NFL. But on offense they’re averaging just 18 PPG. With a Chargers defense that has been pretty stout against the run and is also consistently forcing turnovers, Herbert will have another follow-on great game from last week. |
Anybody throwing money on the Raiders/Giants game will get exactly what they deserve.