I’ve always been so apprehensive at how quickly the public adopted it as the end-all-be-all stat. It’s flawed and subjective (the fact different sites have different models). It’s similar to how basketball fans use the TS% to settle debates nowadays.

I think this should be viewed at the end of the season.

Because every time I’ve watched either Everton or Chelsea they’ve looked much better than they did last season, and typically performances come before results.

But if you were to ask me the two most improved clubs in terms of performance this season I would say Chelsea and Everton, closely followed by us.

Chelsea and Everton the “most improved” while both having a generally awful start to the season is a fun indication of how useful xG is.

Except Everton have been pretty good and are easily the most underrated team in the leauge. I’d argue they were pretty unlucky and were shit aginst Luton which apparently is the only relevant game of the season for judging them on. If anything, their quality on the pitch compared with their xG is a lot more similar than when compared to how many points they’ve gained.

xG is worthless for you because you couldn’t finish of a virgin who’d been edging for 8 hours.

Chelsea finished 12th last season and are 10th now

Everton finished 17th last season and are 14th now without the deducted points

The teams have both improved