Books have Stroud as heavy favorite to win OROTY. Part of it is his statistical performance, part of it is how good the tape looks, and part of it is Houston’s record. If Houston’s defense was worse or the close games swung the other way off say a RB mispay, is Stroud still OROY? Puka and Gibbs are the distant contenders.
The real question is: Would Stroud stilll be presumed OROTY if you regressed his stats to the league average?
Probably not.