I can’t tell if you’re serious but you do realize the statistical method you’re using works with events with an ACTUAL 75% chance of occurring and you’re using it to apply to scenarios where betting markets or journalists think it’s a 75 chance right? Those aren’t the same thing and it means you can’t just blindly do a binomial distribution and declare it proof of match fixing lol.
I can’t tell if you’re serious but you do realize the statistical method you’re using works with events with an ACTUAL 75% chance of occurring and you’re using it to apply to scenarios where betting markets or journalists think it’s a 75 chance right? Those aren’t the same thing and it means you can’t just blindly do a binomial distribution and declare it proof of match fixing lol.