Lemmy world was growing at a decent pace leading up to July 1st, then had a big influx following the API deadline. However the last week in particular has seen a decline.

Engagement still appears to be the same, although a little lower than the start of the month. A few of the other instances i have been checking follow a similar pattern.

Do you think we will continue growing at a steady pace, or do we need another big trigger to get users to migrate? For Mastodon, it seems there’s a big trigger every other week to drive users away from Twitter, but with Reddit, the revolt seems to have quietened down considerably.

  • eggmasterflex@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It does feel a little dead here. Right now it’s mostly memes, meta discussions, or Reddit hate. And the crowd is a very specific type of hyper aware internet dweller (myself included).

    Reddit isn’t worth using without third party apps, and it’s the only social media I used before Lemmy, so I’m spending a lot more time off my phone nowadays. I only check the daily top on Lemmy once a day instead of compulsively every time I touch my phone. Guess that’s a good thing.

      • hansl@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        I’m fairly sure Reddit has something similar so users don’t keep seeing the same one popular community again and again.

        For context, Reddit used to (5 years ago?) show multiple posts from the same community on /r/all, then they implemented a unique function that made it so only one post per sub was shown in the top X. This greatly improved /r/all. It was controversial and well documented.

        It was weird at first but it really helped engagement and medium sized communities. I think if that PR makes it it would greatly improve Lemmy too.

    • glimse@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I blocked the major meme subs (coms?) and my experience here has been much, much better. Free yourself of last year’s memes and explore all the interesting links getting posted

      • redcalcium@lemmy.institute
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        1 year ago

        Yes, those meme communities are very active and drown other posts from other communities. Unsubscribing them drastically improve my experience. I can sort by New now and see Posts from communities I subscribed to. And unlike Reddit, new posts got pretty good engagements here, perhaps because other people browse by New too.

        • glimse@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          “very active” meaning nonstop reposts of last year’s top reddit memes by bots or humans acting like bots

          I don’t want Lemmy to be reddit 2.0

      • Crisps@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        It would be nice if you could block a community directly from the front page without having to navigate to it first. Whole instances would also be useful.

        • glimse@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          I can do it on Connect - click the dots in the upper right and you can pick Block Community

          I wish there was an Undo button, though. Right below Block Community is Block Instance and I’ve clicked that a few times by mistake

    • El Barto@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      That’s a very good thing.

      And to be honest, as selfish as this will sound, I wouldn’t want Lemmy to grow too much - unless the eternal september crowd can be contained.

      • eggmasterflex@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        I disagree. While I do like that the discussions and top level comments are not nearly as homogenized as Reddit eventually became, I’m really missing the niche communities. I wasn’t subscribed to any large subs on Reddit, so my feed was basically just a curated list of discussions for my hobbies. No memes, news, pop culture, internet drama, or politics. Right now, that’s just not possible on Lemmy due to the low population.

        • martoon@lemm.ee
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          1 year ago

          Give it time. Lemmy is still very fresh, but I’m confident smaller niche communities will keep popping up and it will eventually add up. Region and country locales seems to be doing well.

          • Haui@discuss.tchncs.de
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            1 year ago

            I think I get your point but from a larger perspective, Lemmy (amongst several others) is just a means to an end:

            Free the internet of corporate control.

            A steep goal but a worthy one if you ask me.

            So I say make it grow as big as possible even if that means it is not as intimate as it is right now.

            In a large federated place, there will be infinite amounts of smaller/niche hosts to migrate to.

            The idea imo is that we need to focus on our goal here: stop the infinite brainwashing happening through mobile devices.

            Feel free to disagree. Its just how I see it. Have a good one.

            • El Barto@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              I don’t disagree. You have a point. If I don’t like a community, I can just move elsewhere.

              • Haui@discuss.tchncs.de
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                1 year ago

                Exactly. What I feel we might be suffering from is the status quo. We‘re so used to being in walled gardens that we assume homogeneity. But this will not be the case if there are thousands of instances. You then might have an instance that is manga themed or retro themed and so on with themed versions of the other places etc. sounds like fun to me.

                But the bottom line is that we need critical mass for this since that ensures visibility.

        • CoderKat@lemm.ee
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          Yeah, the lack of many of my favorite niche communities makes me constantly wonder if I should just “suck it up” and go back to Reddit. I miss so many of them. If I wanna discuss a particular TV show or video game, often I just don’t have much of an option here, cause the community specific to that TV show or game is very likely dead.

          We also don’t yet have many interesting text post subs that I liked to read on Reddit, like AITA, Best of Legal Advice, Best of Redditor Updates, Hobby Drama, etc.

          Similarly, my local city sub is pretty dead (and never shows up on the front page cause the sorting algorithms suck). So I barely have any local interaction anymore! I met real life people on Reddit and it was great for getting advice from others who live in my city.

          • eggmasterflex@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            I’ve had the same thought, but sucking it up would mean using the official Reddit app or old Reddit on my phone/tablet (at least until they kill that, too), which are both just too annoying of an experience to be worth it to me. It’s not a principle thing, it’s a usability thing.

            For the time being, I’ve just accepted that it’s gone and I’ll miss it for a good while. I’ve been browsing some old school forums for my random hobbies (Gear Page, Hard Forum, Steam, Fresh Loaf etc.), but otherwise, I’ve found other things to occupy my down time until either Lemmy’s smaller communities take off or something else fills the anonymous-niche-hobby-social-media void. Got me some cool books and Picross on Switch.

    • CoderKat@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      The sorting algorithm fixes can’t come soon enough IMO. Small subs are dead because they simply can’t show up on the front page with most of the sorting algorithms that Lemmy has. That limits how much you’ll see in your feed and also makes Reddit a better product (due to all the niche subs it has that actually show up on the front page).

    • hellishharlot@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Once 3rd party lemmy apps get up to snuff it’ll be easier to switch. The .ml loss probably hurt us and for now a lot of redditors would rather complain than leave.

    • SatanicNotMessianic@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      I think it is very much a client thing.

      The one I use - memmy - frequently has issues with widgets that stop responding, and currently is glitching such that the upvote/downvote buttons are superimposed over the posts. Search results show all communities as having 3k subscribers even if there’s actually only single digits. If you highlight text to make a link, it overwrites the text with the empty link rather than making the text into a link. Mlem and Liftoff - the other two I checked - have their own issues.

      I think we can also do a better job hiding the complexity of federations from novice users and cut down on the impact of bot-based crossposting by detecting that the lines articles are identical. I could see, for instance, discussions being merged on the client side.

      I found reddit neither usable nor interesting before Alien Blue, and I suspect there are a number of potential users out there who would onboard or increase engagement here with a better UX.

  • Emanuel@lemmy.eco.br
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    1 year ago

    I think it’s as you say. Lemmy’s growth is going to happen in waves, until it has reached a critical mass that sustains its own “weight”, in terms of growth.

    You have to remember that this is no commercial platform, with little advertisement, which is made by its own users. Growth is bound to be slow, at first.

    • Dave@lemmy.nz
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      1 year ago

      Not only that, we want it to be slow. Being a server admin at the moment is racing from fire to fire. The Lemmy software needs to mature a bit before it will be ready for the less-technical users.

  • tj111@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    According to the Fediverse Observer, Posts and Comments are still growing day-by-day. It’s definitely slower growth, but as long as it stays healthy and active it will continue to have growth spurts as the enshittification of the rest of the web continues.

  • Dazza@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    What’s the rush? Rome wasn’t built in a day. If people are happy (enough) with it now it will grow with time and at the pace it should.

    If things get too big too quickly then the cake will always collapse.

    I like the amount of content here right now and things will diversify gradually over time.

    Most people seem to forget their Reddit accounts were more than 8,9,10+ years old and a lot changed over that period.

  • Screeslope@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Actually I like having a “smaller” space. Reddit was already way too big, with an anonymous giant blob of users. I wouldn’t even have bothered writing an answer like I do now, since it would have been buried under 100s of other posts and comments within seconds. Sometimes smaller and slower are positive features, at least to me.

    • RampageDon@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      The only issue with the smaller space is the niche instances. One of the things I loved about reddit was finding communities for hobbies and interests. With something small you are sometimes lucky to have 20 people in an instance and then even less posting or engaging with content.

      • ChaoticNeutralCzech@feddit.de
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        1 year ago

        There is a sweet spot for platform size.

        Too small? Only a few communities and you can’t find your hobbies.

        Too big? The place is overrun by normies who treat the platform like Facebook (posting unironic old people memes) or Instagram (running scams and OnlyFans ads). It also might become too difficult to moderate or the admins could get greedy and their own and advertisers’ profits before user experience (enshittification). All of these are happening to Reddit BTW.

        However, we are too far from the “too large” problems and Lemmy instances’ size is generally kept in check by popular recommendations (join-lemmy.org, awesome-lemmy-instances) favoring <1k communities. So I think pointing average Reddit users to Lemmy is more helpful than hurtful, and I designed and helped build this banner at r/place despite having otherwise left Reddit.

    • scytale@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yup, I can be late for hours to comment on a post and can still get replies. If you’re late by an hour on a popular sub on reddit, you might as well not comment at all.

  • HTTP_404_NotFound@lemmyonline.com
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    Honestly, I want half of the people on reddit… to just STAY on reddit.

    There is a lot of toxicity that I don’t want here…

    • ikka@lemmy.sdf.org
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      There is a lot of toxicity that I don’t want here…

      It already is… :(

        • ikka@lemmy.sdf.org
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          1 year ago

          Yea, I don’t want to sound like I’m arguing here, but there is a generally negative vibe that is being replicated here on lemmy as it was on reddit:

          • Too many Elon Musk twitter posts
          • Too much climate change doom & gloom
          • Too much political doom & gloom

          The toxicity is already here when you browse “All.” I’ve just blocked most of the offending communities for a better experience. The list grows longer every day… but that’s just my opinion. I think we can all agree that browsing “All” is like playing mental health on nightmare mode.

          • HTTP_404_NotFound@lemmyonline.com
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            1 year ago

            Perhaps that is why our experiences differ- I only look at my subscribed communities.

            Which- in my case, ALL would yield around the same results as I run a pretty small server over here.

            Although, after testing, that does not appear to be the case.

            ALL:

            Subscribed:

            Not- a drastic difference- but, a noticeable one.

            I Imagine this difference is especially noticeable on the larger servers though.

          • HTTP_404_NotFound@lemmyonline.com
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            1 year ago

            Sorry, I stand corrected. Found myself into a thread where apparently half of lemmy thinks that vandalizing others peoples property is ok… because they drive an SUV.

            • VediusPollio@lemmy.world
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              Yep, I got downvoted for suggesting that vandalizing the car was not a good plan…

              Edit: I think you’re actually talking about a different thread. Lemmy needs therapy.

  • redcalcium@lemmy.institute
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    That’s fine. Just do our things here, and when Reddit eventually shoot their own foot again, the next wave of refugees will have an alternative ready, unlike us a few months ago where there was confusion over where to migrate.

    • OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee
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      Kind of lucky the Fediverse version of Reddit worked out as the main alternative while Mastodon and Bluesky duked it out and then Threads came out of nowhere.

      Also IMO the Lemmy apps are better than Mastodon… I admit I was one of the people who got too confused to get on Mastodon but I figured out Lemmy just fine.

      • scytale@lemmy.world
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        The popular Mastodon instances seem to be more stable than the Lemmy ones though. I don’t think I’ve experienced any extended downtime on the Mastodon instances I’ve been on yet. Also, because of the race between the tons of lemmy apps being developed, they tend to have more bugs (on beta). I use Tusker beta for Mastodon and it’s been very stable compared to the Memmy and Mlem betas.

  • Mars2k21@kbin.social
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    I’m pretty sure most of the people who will come here as a result of Reddit are already here. All the new Reddit refugees are probably getting over the hype with Lemmy/Kbin and are finally not pouring so much time into the platforms. And as a result, slowing growth numbers and tapering engagement. Its pretty natural and nothing to be worried about. There’s still plenty of engagement here (just look at what happened to Threads a couple weeks after it came out).

    Regardless, we should focus on making Lemmy/Kbin a fully fleshed out platform and draw in users the natural way rather than relying on Reddit falling off for new users. At this point in time, the Reddit blackout is pretty much over.

    Might as well throw in my rant here, as I’m against this sentiment of not wanting Lemmy/Kbin to grow more and possibly even get mainstream. I get keeping out the undesirables of Reddit and other social media to prevent an Eternal September situation, but I also want more people of different backgrounds and interests rather than the same Reddit critic/tech enthusiast type of crowd. The great thing about federation is that if you want a smaller and more tight knit/topic centered community, there are smaller servers to join (not so much for Lemmy/Kbin at the moment since they are new, but it should get better over time). We can’t seriously want Lemmy/Kbin to develop well if we voice desires to keep people out and rebuild echo chambers. Lots of smaller communities and topics have little activity because there’s really only one group of people here right now.

  • Wooly@lemmy.world
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    Anyone who would’ve left Reddit has already done so, they may be a small increase when Boost/sync becomes available but I doubt we’ll see much growth. No one has ever heard of Lemmy.

    • ThirdWorldOrder@lemmy.one
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      Nah, spez isn’t done with his halfwit ideas. Wait till they kill old.reddit

      Don’t forget they are planning on going public and spez says they need profits. Profits generally come at the expense of pissing people off.

      Wait and see.

      • ChaoticNeutralCzech@feddit.de
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        Depending on his share of the company (which may change after going public), he might be forced to resign. However, I don’t think that would reverse the process as he apparently surrounded himself with like-minded people (similarly, Neal Mohan continued Susan Wojcicki’s work as well)and the movement towards profitability at all costs and enshtiitfication is natural course of action for the company following its bottom line.

    • guy@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      And certainly now that I’ve fully left Reddit, I’m no longer spreading the word of Lemmy there

  • thenewred@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    This feels like a clickbait news article headline. Any headline with a leading question can usually be answered “no”.

    • wisdomchicken@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      As a side note, Ian betteridge, who has the law named after him for the phenomenon you reference, is quite active on the fediverse

  • Chickenstalker@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Lemmy, we, are not a corporation. In fact, exponential growth is BAD since the instance admins have to spend more money and work to keep it running. There is no financial benefit to chase the numbers. Let it grow organically.

  • GroggyKon@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It will always be like that. If 100 people come here for the first time on one day its great if 10 end up staying till the end of the week and lurking and out of those 10 maybe 1 would end up staying for longer. Thats just how these things work.

    • ChaoticNeutralCzech@feddit.de
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      Fortunately, this effect is stronger with Facebook’s Threads even though they likely paid celebrities to join. I think the anti-Zuck sentiment is going strong and Lemmy does not have major controversies around it. Also, if users pass the somewhat high barrier to join, they might be more likely to want to use the account once it’s been set up.

  • anewbeginning@lemmy.world
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    Don’t imagine for a second that Reddit is done pissing off its users. All it takes for lemmy to win is keep improving reliability and usability.

  • Square Singer@feddit.de
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    1 year ago

    Yes, no, kinda.

    (I am basing all this on these stats: https://lemmy.fediverse.observer/dailystats)

    First, the most detailed statistics show “Active Users Monthly”. That means, if you have any interaction (e.g. posting a comment) you will be counted as active for a whole month.

    If you have a look when the decline first started, you’ll see that it’s right around one month after the Reddit blackout.

    So what happened is that tons of people came to Lemmy during the blackout, tried it out for a few minutes, maybe posted a comment, and then dropped it again. They were still counted in the statistics until the 12th of July, which is when the drop starts in the statistics, because all these “single-day-users” are dropping out.

    But: the drop from the highest point to now is only ~10% of the users. Other than that the user count seems to be kinda stable.

    For more up-to-date numbers look at the post/comment counts, since they are daily. Here you see a linear, maybe slightly more than that, increase, which indicates a steady amount of interaction.

    Btw, the number of total users is steadily decreasing, and that’s a good thing. The reason for that is that there are lots of obscure instances with a handful of active users but 10k-90k of users who have never posted anything. These instances usually have open registration without captcha, so all these users are probably bots.

    Since these instances don’t actually have real users or content, they probably were just created by someone to try something out, so they keep getting closed, and with them, the bot accounts disappear.