silence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate@slrpnk.netEnglish · 2 years agoAnalysis: ‘Greater than 99% chance’ 2023 will be hottest year on recordwww.carbonbrief.orgexternal-linkmessage-square19linkfedilinkarrow-up1202arrow-down13
arrow-up1199arrow-down1external-linkAnalysis: ‘Greater than 99% chance’ 2023 will be hottest year on recordwww.carbonbrief.orgsilence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate@slrpnk.netEnglish · 2 years agomessage-square19linkfedilink
minus-squarePyr@lemmy.calinkfedilinkarrow-up44·2 years agoProbably the same chance for 2024 with el nino
minus-squareteft@startrek.websitelinkfedilinkarrow-up26·2 years ago2025 isn’t looking that great either.
minus-squaresilence7@slrpnk.netOPMlinkfedilinkarrow-up13·2 years agoThe history of temperature rise has not been monotonic. So I’d expect a period of a few years where we don’t set a new record.
minus-squareTWeaK@lemm.eelinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up12·2 years agoYes but that doesn’t mean we’ve reached the current peak yet.
minus-squaregivesomefucks@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up10·2 years ago I hasn’t even begun to peak… -Global Warming
minus-squarethepianistfroggollum@lemmynsfw.comlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1arrow-down6·2 years agoExactly, don’t forget that climate change goes extreme in both directions, so we may very well face the coldest year on record too.
minus-squaresilence7@slrpnk.netOPMlinkfedilinkarrow-up15·2 years agoBasically no chance of that happening. Temperatures are rising, just with a bit of noise: Monotonic would mean that each year is strictly warmer than the last one, but the noise is big enough that we sometimes get a few slightly less warm years before the next record. The bigger picture looks like this:
Probably the same chance for 2024 with el nino
2025 isn’t looking that great either.
The history of temperature rise has not been monotonic. So I’d expect a period of a few years where we don’t set a new record.
Yes but that doesn’t mean we’ve reached the current peak yet.
-Global Warming
Exactly, don’t forget that climate change goes extreme in both directions, so we may very well face the coldest year on record too.
Basically no chance of that happening. Temperatures are rising, just with a bit of noise:
Monotonic would mean that each year is strictly warmer than the last one, but the noise is big enough that we sometimes get a few slightly less warm years before the next record.
The bigger picture looks like this:
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